Showing posts with label platform. Show all posts
Showing posts with label platform. Show all posts

Thursday, June 19, 2008

Double Bottom

A charting pattern used in technical analysis. It describes the drop of a stock (or currency), a rebound, another drop to the same (or similar) level as the original drop, and finally another rebound.
The
twice touched low is considered a support level.
Most technical analysts believe that the advance off of the first bottom should be 10-20%. The second bottom should form within 3-4% of the previous low, and volume on the ensuring advance should
increase.

The Million Dollar Question

How do you figure out whether to freakin’ use oscillators, or trend following indicators, or both? After all, we know they don’t always work in tandem.
For now, just know that once you’re able to identify the type of
market you are trading in, you will then know which indicators will give accurate signals, and which ones are worthless at that time.

Summary
There are two types of indicators: leading and lagging.
A leading indicator gives a buy
signal before the new trend or reversal occurs.
A lagging indicator gives a signal after the trend has started .
Technical indicators into one of two categories: Oscillators and trend following or momentum
indicators.

Leading vs. Lagging Indicators

Leading vs. Lagging Indicators

Leading Indicators
An
index published monthly by the Conference Board used to predict the direction of the economy’s movements in the months to come. The index is made up of 10 economic components, whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall economy.


These 5 components include:
1. the
average weekly hours worked by manufacturing workers.2. The average number of initial applications for unemployment insurance.3. The amount of manufacturer’s new orders for consumer goods and materials.4. The speed of delivery of new merchandise to vendors from suppliers.5. The amount of new orders for capital goods unrelated to defense

Oscillators


The Stochastic Oscillator comes in 3 flavors: Fast, Slow, and Full. The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator designed to show the relation of the current close price relative to the high/low range over a given number of periods using a scale of 0-100. It is based on the assumption that in a rising market the price(s) will close near the high of the range and in a declining market the price(s) will close near the low of the range. The Full Stochastic Oscillator is calculated by the formula:
Fast %K = ((Today’s Close - Lowest Low in %K Periods) / (Highest High in %K Periods - Lowest Low in %K Periods))

Lagging Indicators


An index published monthly by the Conference Board that is used to confirm the direction of the economy’s movements in past months.
1. the value of outstanding commercial and industrial loans.2. The change in the consumer price index for services from the previous month.3. The change in labor cost per unit of labor output.4. The ratio of manufacturing and trade inventories to sales made.5. The ratio of consumer credit outstanding to personal income.6. The average prime rate charged by banks.
As it measures the economic activities of previous months, the Composite Index of
Lagging Indicators is used as an after-the-fact way to help confirm economists’ assessment of current economic conditions.

Support and Resistance

The concepts of support and resistance are undoubtedly two of the most important and highly discussed attributes of technical analysis and they are often regarded as a subject that is complex by those who are just learning to trade.

Most experienced traders will be able to tell many stories about how certain price levels tend to prevent traders from pushing the price of an underlying asset in a certain direction.Most technical traders incorporate the power of various technical indicators such as moving averages, to aid in predicting future short-term momentum, but these traders never fully realize the ability these tools have for identifying levels of support and resistance

Trend Lines

The trend lines are a popular and an important type in technical analysis for trend identification and confirmation, They are also one of the most underutilized as well.
There are two kinds of trends:Stock up trend: it can be used like a
sell signal, deemed to be complete with the formation of a lower high or a lower low.Stock downtrend: it can be used like a buy signal , deemed to be complete with the formation of a higher low or higher high.

Channels

There are 2 types of channels in the forex market :1-If you want to create a down channel, it may also be called a descending channel, you can simply draw a line at the same angle as the downtrend and after that move the line to a new place where it can reach the most recent both valley.
For the
both channels ,it should be done at the same time to you to create the trend line.It may be a sell signal when the prices hit the up trend line and it can be a buy signal when the prices hits the down trend line

Fibonacci

We should know from the beginning that the Fibonacci is a big subject and there are many ways to study the Fibonacci .there is a lot of types of the Fibonacci but we will show 2 types only: the Fibonacci retracement and extension.

The Fibonacci ratio can start from this number: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34
The number series starts from the number 1 then the number 2 and after that we add 1+2 we will get 3 ,it will be the third number ,then we add 2+3 we will get 5 and that will be the fourth number.
Fibonacci extension: the
levels of Fibonacci extension will be 0, 0.382, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618.many Traders can use the Fibonacci extension as profit taking level and when they watch the same levels ,they can buy or sell to enter the trade or cancel it, so this will become a due self-fulfilling expectation.

Fibonacci Retracement

fibonacci retracement is a very popular tool among technical traders and is based on the key numbers identified by Leonardo Fibonacci. However, Fibonacci ’s sequence of numbers is not as important as the mathematical relationships, expressed as ratios, between the numbers in the series. In technical analysis, Fibonacci retracement is created by taking two extreme points (usually a major peak and trough) on a stock chart and dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%. Once these levels are identified, horizontal lines are drawn and used to identify possible support and resistance levels. Before we can understand why these ratios were chosen, we need to have a better understanding of the Fibonacci number series.

Fibonacci Extension

Fibonacci Extension
what is fibonacci and how to use it in the world of FX?

Leonardo Fibonacci was a 13th century mathematician who noted that there are certain ratios that tend to occur repeatdly in nature . The common ones that he identified were 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%.
For example, the distance from your fingertips to your wrist is 38.2% of the distance from your fingertips to your elbow. There is overwhelming evidence of Fibonacci ratios operating throughout nature.
These are not always perfect, but surprisengly they work more than just often!! Many people have argued about why these work, but my opinion is that all the large institutions use them, so you might as well buy or sell at the same
levels that they do and if these levels don’t hold you can get out with a small loss.

Simple Moving Average (SMA)

the simple moving average is formed by calculating the average price of a security over a particular number of periods. While it is possible to create moving averages from the Open, the High and the Low data points, most moving averages are created using the closing price.

For example: a 4-day simple moving average is calculated by adding the closing prices for the last 4 days and dividing the total by 4.
11+ 12 + 13 + 14 = 50
(50 / 4) = 12.5
The calculation is repeated for each price bar on the chart. The
averages are then joined to form a smooth curving line - the moving average line. Continuing our example, if the next closing price in the average is 15, then this new period would be added and the oldest day.
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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

In order to reduce the lag in simple moving averages, technicians often use exponential moving averages (also called exponentially weighted moving averages). exponential moving average reduce the lag by applying more weight to recent prices relative to older prices. The weighting applied to the most recent price depends on the specified period of the moving average. The shorter the exponential moving average’s period, the more weight that will be applied to the most recent price.
For example: a 10-period exponential moving average weighs the most recent price 18.18% while a 20-period EMA weighs the most recent price 9.52%. As we will see, the calculating and exponential moving average is much harder than calculating an simple moving average. The important thing to remember is that the exponential moving average puts more weight on recent prices.
exponential Moving Average Calculation
Exponential Moving Averages can be specified in two ways - as a percent-based exponential

SMA vs. EMA

EMA:IT HELPS TO SHOW RECENT PRICE SWINGS AND FAST MOVINGSMA:HELP TO SHOW EASY CHART, AND ELIMINATE THE FAKEOUTS. IT’S UP TO YOU TO DECIDE WHICH ONE IS BETTER TO USE A LOT OF TRADERS PLOT DIFFERENT MOVING AVERAGES TO GIVE THE SIDES OF THE STORY. THEY SHOULD USE THE SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGE TO FIND WHAT IS THE OVERALL TREND, AND ALSO USE THE EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE TO FIND THE BETTER TIME TO ENTER THE TRADE TIME.Read More : www.forexgen.com

MA Summary

Moving averages are one of the most famous tools and also the easisest tool used by many traders.
We can find many types of moving averages .the 2 most popular types are: Simple Moving Average and Exponential Moving Average.• The simple form of moving average (
SMA) will be the simple moving average, is formed by computing the average = price of a security over a number of periods• Exponential moving averages: EMA’s reduce the lag by applying more weight to recent prices relative to older prices.
• The best way to use moving averages is to plot different types on a
chart so that you can see both long term movement and short term movement.
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