Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
Leading Indicators
An index published monthly by the Conference Board used to predict the direction of the economy’s movements in the months to come. The index is made up of 10 economic components, whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall economy.
These 5 components include:
1. the average weekly hours worked by manufacturing workers.2. The average number of initial applications for unemployment insurance.3. The amount of manufacturer’s new orders for consumer goods and materials.4. The speed of delivery of new merchandise to vendors from suppliers.5. The amount of new orders for capital goods unrelated to defense
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The commercial real estate market has been limping along since the subprime fallout earlier this year, but since it takes an act of god to purchase a commercial property without a bare minimum of 10% down (an SBA loan where the property appraises), the lack of activity much more market jitters and loan oversight panic. All things considered, commercial real estate has been the relative bright spot on the real estate landscape.
The whole story @
http://www.socalmultiunitrealestateblog.com/?p=41
Enjoy,
Jodi Summers
The SoCal Investment Real Estate Group
Sotheby’s International Realty
jodi@jodisummers.com
www.SoCalInvestmentRealEstate.com
www.SoCalOfficeRealEstateBlog.com
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The next life or tomorrow - you can never be sure which will come first. - Tibetan proverb
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