Thursday, June 19, 2008

Double Bottom

A charting pattern used in technical analysis. It describes the drop of a stock (or currency), a rebound, another drop to the same (or similar) level as the original drop, and finally another rebound.
The
twice touched low is considered a support level.
Most technical analysts believe that the advance off of the first bottom should be 10-20%. The second bottom should form within 3-4% of the previous low, and volume on the ensuring advance should
increase.

The Million Dollar Question

How do you figure out whether to freakin’ use oscillators, or trend following indicators, or both? After all, we know they don’t always work in tandem.
For now, just know that once you’re able to identify the type of
market you are trading in, you will then know which indicators will give accurate signals, and which ones are worthless at that time.

Summary
There are two types of indicators: leading and lagging.
A leading indicator gives a buy
signal before the new trend or reversal occurs.
A lagging indicator gives a signal after the trend has started .
Technical indicators into one of two categories: Oscillators and trend following or momentum
indicators.

Leading vs. Lagging Indicators

Leading vs. Lagging Indicators

Leading Indicators
An
index published monthly by the Conference Board used to predict the direction of the economy’s movements in the months to come. The index is made up of 10 economic components, whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall economy.


These 5 components include:
1. the
average weekly hours worked by manufacturing workers.2. The average number of initial applications for unemployment insurance.3. The amount of manufacturer’s new orders for consumer goods and materials.4. The speed of delivery of new merchandise to vendors from suppliers.5. The amount of new orders for capital goods unrelated to defense

Oscillators


The Stochastic Oscillator comes in 3 flavors: Fast, Slow, and Full. The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator designed to show the relation of the current close price relative to the high/low range over a given number of periods using a scale of 0-100. It is based on the assumption that in a rising market the price(s) will close near the high of the range and in a declining market the price(s) will close near the low of the range. The Full Stochastic Oscillator is calculated by the formula:
Fast %K = ((Today’s Close - Lowest Low in %K Periods) / (Highest High in %K Periods - Lowest Low in %K Periods))

Lagging Indicators


An index published monthly by the Conference Board that is used to confirm the direction of the economy’s movements in past months.
1. the value of outstanding commercial and industrial loans.2. The change in the consumer price index for services from the previous month.3. The change in labor cost per unit of labor output.4. The ratio of manufacturing and trade inventories to sales made.5. The ratio of consumer credit outstanding to personal income.6. The average prime rate charged by banks.
As it measures the economic activities of previous months, the Composite Index of
Lagging Indicators is used as an after-the-fact way to help confirm economists’ assessment of current economic conditions.

Support and Resistance

The concepts of support and resistance are undoubtedly two of the most important and highly discussed attributes of technical analysis and they are often regarded as a subject that is complex by those who are just learning to trade.

Most experienced traders will be able to tell many stories about how certain price levels tend to prevent traders from pushing the price of an underlying asset in a certain direction.Most technical traders incorporate the power of various technical indicators such as moving averages, to aid in predicting future short-term momentum, but these traders never fully realize the ability these tools have for identifying levels of support and resistance

Trend Lines

The trend lines are a popular and an important type in technical analysis for trend identification and confirmation, They are also one of the most underutilized as well.
There are two kinds of trends:Stock up trend: it can be used like a
sell signal, deemed to be complete with the formation of a lower high or a lower low.Stock downtrend: it can be used like a buy signal , deemed to be complete with the formation of a higher low or higher high.